Lalu’s Muslim-Yadav combine proved the game changer

Lalu’s Muslim-Yadav combine proved the game changer

Of the 49 Yadav candidates that RJD fielded, 42 won while 12 out of 16 Muslim candidates bagged seats

The grand victory of the Mahagathbandhan (grand alliance) of Nitish Kumar and Lalu Prasad in the crucial Bihar poll was possible not because of Mr.Kumar’s celebrity publicity manager Prashant Kishor, but because of Mr.Prasad’s M-Y(Muslim-Yadav) vote bank which proved the real game changer, according to political analysts. The RJD of Mr.Prasad won more seats than JD(U) of Mr.Kumar.

Of the total 49 Yadav candidates that the RJD fielded, 42 won the poll while 12 out of the 16 Muslim candidates bagged the seats. Similarly, out of the total 13 Yadav candidates the JD(U) had fielded, 11 won the poll while out of seven Muslim contestants, five registered wins.

Even for the Congress, out of the three Yadav candidates, two won the poll and out of 10 Muslim candidates, six bagged the seats.

The RJD’s Yadav candidates had a whopping 85.71 strike rate whereas Muslim candidates notched up 75% strike rate for the party. For the JD(U), the strike rate of Yadav candidates was 84.61 % while Muslim contestants had 71.42% strike rate.

However, for their third alliance partner, the Congress party, the strike rate of Yadavs was 66.66% while for the Muslims it was 60%.

The political analysts told The Hindu that such an impressive M-Y strike rate had lifted the vote-share of the grand alliance to an extent that no other factor could affect the outcome.

“Even this M-Y combo helped JD(U)’s vote-share to pick up substantially”, said one of them.

It is said that if Mr.Kumar’s face and his “development” image being projected and publicised on a huge scale by his celebrity campaign manager Prashant Kishor had been the factor for the grand alliance’s grand victory, his party JD(U) would have got more seats than the RJD. But, the RJD got nine seats more that the JD(U)’s 71 seats.

During the poll campaign, Mr. Kumar’s face was splashed on huge billboards side by side the posters of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP president Amit Shah, all across the State. But, nowhere were visible RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav’s images, except on very few hoardings in the State capital Patna.

It is being observed that Mr Kishor’s publicity efforts had not reached people in remote villages who voted for the M-Y candidates of the RJD.

PATNA, November 10, 2015

Nitish Kumar likely to take oath as new CM on November 20

Nitish Kumar likely to take oath as new CM on November 20

Though the official announcement is awaited, JD(U) Nitish Kumar in all likelihood would take oath as the new chief minister of Bihar on November 20.

“People are busy with Diwali and after that comes the Chhath festival which ends on November 18. So oath of the new government in all likelihood will be administered after Chhath,” state JD(U) President Basistha Narayan Singh told PTI.

Though the decision to this effect will be taken by the chief minister but the date seems likely, he said.

Two senior ministers of Nitish Kumar’s outgoing cabinet have also indicated November 20 as the likely date and talks are on among top leadership of the three constituent parties of the Grand Alliance on government formation.

It is yet to be decided as to which constituent party would the speaker be from and if Lalu Prasad’s son Tejaswi would be made the deputy chief minister.

Kumar had on November 8 told mediapersons that the term of the current Assembly is till November 29, hence there was no hurry to form a new government.

Refusing to commit a date, he had merely said a new government would take oath in the state soon.

This would be the fifth time that Kumar would take oath as chief minister. His first stint was in 2000 when he headed a government for only seven days. He rode to power in Novermber 2005 and again

in 2010. In February 2015 he took oath for the high office for the fourth time after Jitan Ram Manjhi was removed from the chair.

When contacted, state Congress President Ashok Choudhary told PTI that party high command would take a call as to whether to join the government or not.

“I will go to Delhi after Diwali and discuss the Bihar issue with the top leadership,” he added.

Bihar JD(U) chief Basistha Narayan Singh said though decision would be taken by the leaders of Congress it would be better if all three partners are part of the state government.

“We have fought together and it would be good for them (Congress) too that they be part of the government,” he said.

Singh refused to confirm media reports that a criteria of one minister on every five MLAs is being fixed for selection of ministers in the new Nitish Kumar government.

-10 November 2015 | PTI | Patna

Nitish Kumar led grand alliance surging ahead in Bihar

Nitish Kumar led grand alliance surging ahead in Bihar

In a reversal of early trends, the JDU-led grand alliance is surging ahead of the BJP-led NDA is leading more than 140 seats, well above the half-way mark needed for forming the government in Bihar.

Bihar elections

The Nitish Kumar-led grouping is leading in 146 of the 243 seats as counting of votes progressed fast in the five-phased elections that concluded on November 5.

The rival alliance has been projected to get 83 seats and the ‘Others’ eight.

Initial trends on television channels projected the BJP to be in the lead.

In the last assembly polls in 2010, the JDU had won 115 seats while BJP won in 91 when both parties had an alliance. RJD had got 24 and Congress 5, contesting separately.

-08 November 2015 | PTI | Patna